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Collective Intelligence Experiment - Survey #1

August 4th, 2006

This is survey #1 in my Collective Intelligence Experiment series. For more information about these experiments please read the Collective Intelligence Experiment Intro.

Rules for answering the survey:

After you submit your results you will be directed to a page with a password on it. Write down the password as you will need it to retrieve the results next week when they are posted.

Thanks in advance for your participation.

Survey:

When the Fed meets next week they will...

Note: this question will be removed after the Fed meeting on 8-8-06.

On September 4th, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) will close closest to...


On September 4th, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) will close WHERE in relation to its close of August 3rd?

Note: DO NOT look to see what the close was. Use your intuition about direction.

Which stock presently has the highest market capitalization in the US?

Note: DO NOT look up the answer! Use your intuition!

What will the price of oil be next week (Specifically its closing price on August 9th, Wed.) in relation to its current price?


NOTE: I realize some of these questions have time flaws (i..e those answering on Tuesday will have a better idea about a price than those answering today). Don't worry about it. I will address that in my comments about them.







Disclaimer: this post is for informational purposes ONLY. Please read the disclaimer before even thinking about relying on me to make a financial decision!


Related Posts:

Waxing Philosophical on Markets, Chaos Theory, and Crowd Psychology
The Human Side of Markets
More on the Wisdom of Crowds and Collective Intelligence
Collective Intelligence Experiment Intro


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